The graph that shows how Russia has folded its air attacks in Ukraine since Trump returned to power

However, in his efforts to achieve a high fire he has sometimes been accused of favoring Russia and his administration has suspended twice the sending of anti -aircraft ammunition and other military supplies to Ukraine.

The pauses – announced in March and July, and subsequently reversed by the president himself – occurred while Russia constantly increased their missile and drones production.

According to Ukrainian military intelligence, the manufacture of ballistic missiles in Russia grew 66% in the last year.

The data analyzed by BBC Verify, based on the daily reports of the Ukrainian Air Force, show that Russia launched 27,158 drones and projectiles between January 20 (when Trump's mandate began) and on July 19, compared to 11,614 in the last six months of the Biden government.

“This brutal war was caused by the incompetence of Joe Biden and has lasted too long,” said the Viceporte of the White House, Anna Kelly, in a statement sent to BBC Verify.

He added that “President Trump wants to stop the killing, so he is selling American manufacturing weapons to NATO members and threatening Putin with harsh sanctions and tariffs if he does not accept a high fire.”

In the first weeks of the new administration, the White House issued a series of cordial communications that seemed aimed at inviting President Putin to sign an agreement.

During that period, Russian attacks against Ukraine decreased briefly compared to the last weeks of the Biden government.

But in February, when American diplomats headed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio met with the delegation of Russian Foreign Minister Serguéi Lavrov on a summit in Riyadh, the attacks began to increase again.

To the conversations, which Rubio described as a starting point to end the war, followed mediated dialogues among Ukrainian and Russian officials in Türkiye.

The attacks reached its maximum point at the beginning of last month, when Moscow launched 748 drones and missiles against Ukraine on July 9, according to data from the Ukraine Air Force.

More than a dozen people were injured in the bombing and two died, according to reports.

Although Trump has repeatedly criticized the increase in Russian attacks, his growing frustration does not seem to have had an impact on Moscow's strategy.

On May 25, Russia launched its greatest offensive registered until that date, which led Trump to exclaim with anger: “What the hell happened to Putin)?”

Since then, Russia has exceeded that release record.

In response, Trump has demanded that Kremlin reach a peace agreement with Ukraine before August 8.

The number of Russian projectiles that manage to cross Ukrainian aerial defenses seems to increase, and explosions around the capital, Kyiv, have become part of everyday life for their residents.

“Every time you go to bed you don't know if you are going to wake up the next day, and that is not a normal way of living,” said Dasha Volk, a journalist who lives in the city, to the UKRAinecast program of the BBC in June.

And he said: “Every time I listen to an explosion or a missile flying over my head, many thoughts go through my mind, as 'I will die now' and things like that.”

Senator Chris Coons, one of the main democratic members of the US Foreign Relations Committee, told BBC Verify that Trump's decision to suspend the sending of weapons twice, and his general approach to Russia, they could have given the Kremlin the feeling that he was free to intensify the attacks.

“It is clear that Putin feels emboldened by Trump's weakness and has intensified his brutal offensive against the Ukrainian people, repeatedly attacking hospitals and maternities, the Ukrainian electricity grid and other civil facilities,” he said.

The increase in attacks has renewed the calls so that the US sends new patriotic defense systems to Ukraine.

Patriot are the most sophisticated and expensive defense systems that the country has; Each battery costs around US $ 1 billion, and every missile almost US $ 4 million.

Trump has reversed the previous pauses in the supply and has agreed to sell weapons to NATO members, which in turn will send them to Kyiv.

The president implied that the agreement would include new patriot batteries shipments.

Justin Bronk, an analyst specialized in the Russian army in the Royal United Services Institute (Rusi), said that the restrictions imposed by the White House to the supply of military equipment have left Ukraine “vulnerable” to attacks with missiles and drones.

However, he also pointed out that Russia has intensified the production of missiles and the so-called Kamikaze drones such as Geran-2, a local version of the Iranian drone Shahed.

Bronk explained that the largest Russian reserves, added to “significant reductions” in the supply of interceptor missiles by the US, have encouraged Moscow to intensify their air campaign.

The Ukraine Military Intelligence Agency (Hur, for its acronym in Ukrainian) recently declared to local media that Russia currently produces up to 85 ballistic missiles per month, compared to the 44 it manufactured in April 2024.

According to reports, Russia is producing 170 Geran Drones per day after having established a huge manufacturing plant in Alabuga, in the south of the country.

In a recent interview with Russian military television, the director of the plant, Timur Shagivaleyev, proudly said that Alabuga had become “the largest combat drone factory in the world”, and added that its workers are producing nine times more units than it had initially planned.

Satellite images show that the plant has experienced a significant expansion since mid -2024, with several new built warehouses.

Other structures, including those that seem to be extensions of the bedrooms for workers, are still under construction.

Senator Coons warned that the increase in Russian arms production implies that Washington must make it clear that he is not preparing to abandon the conflict, as some government officials have suggested, and stressed that peace can only be achieved through a “impulse decided in security assistance.”

He added that President Trump must make Russia clear that “he cannot simply try to endure more than the West.”

“To achieve this, you need to maintain a consistent and sustained position regarding war,” he said.

For its part, Dasha Volk pointed out that public morality is beaten every day that the Russian campaign is prolonged and Ukrainian interceptions decrease.

He claimed that “people are getting tired of these attacks, our lives really affect.”

“We know why we are fighting, but it becomes more difficult every year, because we are all exhausted. That is reality,” he said.

Subscribe here To our new newsletter to receive every Friday a selection of our best content of the week.

And remember that you can receive notifications in our app. Download the latest version and act.