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- Author, Paul Adams
- Author's title, BBC News, diplomatic correspondent
A lot has been speculated on whether the summit between Trump and Putin will lead to a forced and fundamental alteration of the Ukraine map.
Russia has claimed vast areas of Ukraine since 2014, when President Vladimir Putin took his first step.
At that time, in the space of a few months, Moscow carried out the relatively uncertain occupation and annexation of the Crimean Peninsula.
But this was followed by a separatist movement backed by Russia in the eastern region of Donbás, specifically in the two regions, or “Oblast”, known as Donetsk and Lugansk.
There a war was fought for eight years.
Ukraine lost around 14,000 soldiers and civilians during this period.
But in February 2022, Putin launched its large -scale invasion. Russian troops quickly reached Kyiv's outskirts and seized huge extensions of the south, including large parts of two other provinces, Zaporiyia and Jersón.
The war has had ups and downs since then. Russia now controls a rather lower territory, going from about 27% in spring of 2022 to approximately 20% today. In the east, the Russian forces are advancing, but very slowly a great cost.
The president of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelensky, affirms that the unconditional fire is now necessary. European allies also insist on the cessation of fighting. The president of the United States, Donald Trump, states that this is what he has been trying to get.
But on the eve of his summit in Alaska with Putin, Trump has begun to speak, however, of territorial exchanges. This has caused shock in Kyiv and Europe.
It is not clear to which territory Trump refers, nor how those exchanges would be, since the entire territory in question legally belongs to Ukraine.
As of August 2025, the territory of Ukraine is as follows:
Russia would love to expand its control over all of Lugansk and Donetsk.
Some reports suggest that Putin is demanding from Ukraine to deliver the remaining territory that controls in both regions.
But that would mean that Kyiv would renounce places where tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers have died trying to protect, cities such as Kramorsk and Slávyansk, and a fortified line that protects the Ukrainian territory to the North and west.
For Kyiv, such a concession would be a bitter drink. For Moscow, whose losses have been even more catastrophic, would represent a victory.
Zelensky said on Tuesday that Ukraine “could not” leave Donbás, since Moscow would use the region as a springboard to attack the rest of the country.
In recent days, Russian forces seem to be pressing strongly and advancing near the city of Dobropilia. But it is not yet clear if this is a significant strategic movement or just an effort to demonstrate to Trump that Moscow has the advantage.
And what about Zaporiyia and Jersón captured in 2022?
As reported, Russia is offering to stop his offensive and leave the borders as they are.
But would Russia be willing to return some of it?
On Monday, Trump vaguely talked about “properties in front of the sea”, presumably in reference to part of this coast, along the sea of Azov or the Black Sea.
But all this is part of the strategically vital land bridge of Putin that connects Russia with the Crimea occupied.
It is difficult to imagine that the Russian leader agrees to give up any of it. Like Donetsk and Lugansk, Putin considers these places as part of Russia and annexed them illegally three years ago in four referendums widely considered a farce.
For Ukraine and Europe, territorial exchanges, in this early phase of negotiations, are unfeasible.
It is possible that there is finally a debate on future borders, but only when the war has ended and the security of Ukraine has been guaranteed.
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