What would a future Government of the PP and Vox with Alberto Núñez Feijóo in La Moncloa after a hypothetical electoral advance? Among journalists it is not difficult to find many who say they have surprising divinatory skills, but in reality no one knows with total security, perhaps even their own protagonists. You can find clues in the regional governments of both parties that had a scarce life, but it is always better to resort to the present.
In Murcia, a 27 -words tweet from Santiago Abascal has been enough for the PP government to immediately rectify and a counselor humiliates itself without hesitation in less than two hours.
It is a scenario that should be taken into account in all calculations on an alternative scenario to the current one, one in which Pedro Sánchez throws the towel at some point in this year and elections are held in the worst possible time for the left. It can obtain as a result the arrival of Alberto Núñez Feijóo to La Moncloa, although accompanied by a dangerous passenger. Not exactly a polizón, but a partner.
The Murcian government believed to have found an exit to the situation created by the closure of the minors reception of the district of Santa Cruz imposed by Vox in exchange for its support for this year's budgets. It was a complete assignment by the PP, something that had not accepted a few months before. “We will not accept the cast Of migrant minors who impose Sanchez and their agreements with Puigdemont ”, was the way in which the president, Fernando López Miras, defined the agreement on June 5. But his government believed to have a solution. Search for“ a more familiar care model and not in large centers, ”said the spokesman of the popular group in the assembly.
The alternative materialized last week and consisted of the housing purchase project with 385 residential places for minors who have to be welcomed, foreigners or not, and that would be financed with European funds. Until Santiago Abascal learned and threatened on Tuesday morning with voting against budgets “if this is not immediately retired” and offered them “guarantees that nothing similar will happen again.” The reaction was immediate in the López Miras government.
The Minister of Social Policy announced that the project was canceled and met the two demands of the Vox leader. “Rectify is wise. It will not happen again,” Conchita Ruiz wrote on Twitter. The saying that rectifying is wise. In politics, it can also be said that sometimes rectifying is typical of cowards. It happens when you do it by renouncing your principles.
The PP strategy consists in pretending that Vox does not exist or will not be relevant after the next elections. “My goal is to win the elections With a sufficient difference that allows me to govern alone, ”said Feijóo in an interview in February. Surely, just like Sanchez could say that his great goal is for people to return from the summer holiday vote ”.
It should not surprise that this phrase sounds known. It is the same as Feijóo and the PP announced in the July 2023 campaign and did not work. They had the enthusiastic support of the right -wing press, which ventured that the purge made by Abascal in the candidacies would take its toll. Vox lost 700,000 votes, but resisted in third place with 12.3%. Most surveys predicts an increase in votes for the extreme right -wing party. Feijóo will need Vox to reach the Moncloa.
The example of Murcia demonstrates that Vox would reach a coalition government with the priority, which could also be defined as an obsession, to attack immigration, even to the point of claiming “reverse all the regularizations of illegal immigrants carried out by bipartisanship” or carry out “mass deportations”, as recalled in the act of June 29 in which he presented his economic program. Neither the legal obligations of the Autonomous Communities in terms of the protection of foreign minors prevent them from claiming that governments should only defend the White Race Spaniards.
Without xenophobia and Spanish nationalism, Vox loses its reason. If the PP refuses to accept it, it could be a very short legislature.
Warning about the danger of a government of these two parties was an essential ingredient of the campaign of leftist parties in July 2023. Sánchez has not stopped using the argument since that date. The difficult thing is to know if it will now have the same value after a not very productive legislature. Once the Cerdán scandal broke out, he influenced the same idea: “We are not going to break the stability of a great country such as Spain, which lives one of the best moments of the last decades, to put it in the hands of the worst opposition that the democratic history of our country has had, in the hands of Mr. Feijóo and the abascial man.”
News such as the PP and Vox pact in Murcia – with the ability of the ultra party to impose its xenophobia on the PP – are in theory good news for the left (and bad for minors), but only if the spokesmen of the message have credibility. The question surrounding all the Spanish policy of the last days is if Sanchez has sufficient authority to continue presiding over the government and under what conditions after his trusted man to lead the party has ended.
Government members responded disdain for the unexpected idea of the PP to call them on the phone to check if they continue to support Sánchez. Feijóo announced it early on Tuesday, those games received a WhatsApp warning them, and Miguel Tellado explained at twelve in the morning. Everyone rejected what the PNV called “a marketing strategy.” In the afternoon, Tellado called the PNV, which said it had been a brief conversation with which the PP spokesman had asked to recover the relationship between the two after the constant attacks that lead them to support the government. The PP has a strange way to make friends in Congress.
These parties are not going to leave Sánchez because of what happened with Santos Cerdán, but they need that they are attentive to new revelations of the judicial instruction that may force them to review their position. Ultimately, they must make a more long -term decision and see if they are willing to revalidate their confidence in Sánchez through the negotiation of the budgets after summer.
If that is impossible, it will be too late to warn of the danger of a government on the right and the extreme right. In a sense, Murcia will be closer.
